{"id":1654,"date":"2018-04-24T01:25:10","date_gmt":"2018-04-24T01:25:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/?p=1654"},"modified":"2018-04-24T01:25:10","modified_gmt":"2018-04-24T01:25:10","slug":"will-the-lebanese-vote-in-parliamentary-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/2018\/04\/24\/will-the-lebanese-vote-in-parliamentary-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the Lebanese vote in parliamentary elections?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Al Jazeera<\/p>\n<p>New electoral law has citizens divided over upcoming general election happening for the first time in years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\"><strong>Beirut, Lebanon &#8211;\u00a0<\/strong>The last parliamentary elections in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/country\/lebanon.html\">Lebanon<\/a>\u00a0were held\u00a0nine years ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">Since then, the country has seen its executive body sit vacant for two years, watched parliament extend its tenure twice, and witnessed a prime minister abruptly resign and<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2017\/11\/lebanon-pm-saad-al-hariri-holds-resignation-171122093036875.html\">\u00a0just as suddenly retract<\/a>\u00a0his resignation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"speakable\">A new electoral law, passed last summer, staved off a major political deadlock that threatened to leave the country without a parliament &#8211; and the bill set a vote deadline of May 2018.<\/p>\n<p>But as the country prepares to put the new electoral law to the test, many Lebanese expressed scepticism and a lack of enthusiasm for the May 6 parliamentary elections.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Lebanon is heading &#8220;toward one of the dullest elections since the end of the war in 1990&#8221;, wrote political analyst Joseph Bahout in a recent article.<\/p>\n<p>The upcoming elections promise &#8220;no significant surprises&#8221; and do not offer &#8220;major political stakes, or programmes, mobilising the attention of voters&#8221;, argued Bahout.<\/p>\n<p>But observers face a &#8220;difficulty&#8221; making sense of the upcoming elections due to &#8220;the time lapse since the last elections,&#8221; Halim Shebaya, a political analyst, told Al Jazeera.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;In nine years, so much has changed locally, regionally and internationally and it remains to be seen where the Lebanese public stand on many issues.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Lebanon&#8217;s decade of turbulent politics took place amid the influx of over a million refugees fleeing the Syrian conflict next door, a waste-management crisis that brought citizens of Beirut onto the streets, and major military operations to clear fighters linked to the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/topics\/organisations\/isis-isil.html\">ISIL<\/a>, also known as ISIS) group from the country&#8217;s remote border areas.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Due to the dire state of affairs in the country, there is undoubtedly a general sense of deep dissatisfaction with the performance of the parties currently in parliament,&#8221; said Shebaya.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The million-dollar question is how will voters decide to channel this dissatisfaction.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>&#8216;Three types of voters&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p>Bachar El-Halabi, a political analyst, conceptualised Lebanese voters into three broad categories.<\/p>\n<p>First, he described the &#8220;traditional voter&#8221; who benefits directly from the &#8220;clientelist system&#8221; of traditional political parties.<\/p>\n<p>The second type of voter wants to vote for &#8220;alternative options,&#8221; said El-Halabi, at least in theory, &#8220;largely emerging from the so-called civil society&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Then there are Lebanese who have &#8220;given up&#8221; and are boycotting the elections, according to El-Halabi.<\/p>\n<p>Many Lebanese citizens, speaking to Al Jazeera both on and off the record, expressed a sense of frustration with the country&#8217;s state of affairs. Most voiced scepticism that the upcoming elections will bring about real change in a country long governed by a power-sharing system of sectarian dynasties that accommodate clientelist politics.<\/p>\n<p>Still, many said they would vote.<\/p>\n<p>Marwan Tabbal, a surgeon, said he participated in the 2015 #YouStink demonstrations, the massive civil unrest movement protesting the country&#8217;s poor waste management system.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I was disappointed. Now that I look [back] at it, I think of myself as an idiot,&#8221; said Tabbal. &#8220;Nothing will change.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Yet, Tabbal said he would most probably be voting, &#8220;to preserve something.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I am supporting the president,&#8221; said Tabbal, referring to President Michel Aoun, the founder of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM).<\/p>\n<p>FPM, otherwise known as the Aounist party, is the largest Christian party in the country and currently holds 19 seats in the 128-member parliament.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We struggled to bring this man to the presidency, and we need to support him,&#8221; he added, referring to the 29-month deadlock that left the country without a head of state\u00a0from 2014 to 2016.<\/p>\n<h2>Culture of &#8216;zuama&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p>Nour Hachem, a social media professional, said she was &#8220;disappointed&#8221; by the spectrum of available candidates and parties, but said she felt &#8220;responsible&#8221; to fulfil her civic duty as a Lebanese citizen.<\/p>\n<p>Hachem said she would cast her vote for a party with little representation in the south, not out of ideological conviction but from a desire to protest the traditional domination of her home region by two major parties.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t need [Nabih] Berri or [Walid] Jumblatt to get me out of prison if I am innocent or to get me a bed in a hospital,&#8221; Hachem said, citing the names of leaders of two major parties, the Amal movement and the Progressive Socialist Party, and referring to a long tradition of political patronage in the country.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;These are our rights, and we should be able to get them without the help of any political party.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>According to Hachem, &#8220;it&#8217;s not only about [voter] education and political awareness. It&#8217;s a culture&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This is our culture: to vote for the zuama,&#8221; she said, using a term specifically referring to the local sectarian leaders in the regions of Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Lebanon is divided this way. Our parents suffered from this; we are suffering from it now; and tomorrow, our children will suffer from it if we don&#8217;t do anything about it,&#8221; said Mohamed Abbas, an accountant, who will be voting for an independent political movement.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;They dump waste, and we can&#8217;t say anything about it &#8230; They get indebted with [billions of dollars] on the expense of the people, and we don&#8217;t know where they are spending it.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The people are divided in a way that we can&#8217;t do anything. Every party has its beneficiaries, and these people cannot revolt against them.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>A complicated law<\/h2>\n<p>Speculation on voter turnout is even more difficult given the new, though complicated, electoral law, which is being tested for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>Instead of a majoritarian voting system, which is what the so-called &#8220;1960 law&#8221; was based upon, the June 2017 law introduced proportional representation.<\/p>\n<p>Politicians promised this would grant seats to traditionally marginalised minorities and would shake up the sectarian composition of parliamentary blocs, thus weakening the historical hegemony of major political parties.<\/p>\n<p>Based on this law, seats will be allocated proportionally according to candidate lists that political parties and various alliances put forth across Lebanon&#8217;s 27 sub-districts.<\/p>\n<p>But the law added a twist to traditional proportional systems used elsewhere: the preferential vote.<\/p>\n<p>Voters are now expected to cast two votes: one for a candidate list, and another for their single favourite candidate.<\/p>\n<p>Usually, a proportional voting system increases voter turnout, because it ensures better representation, mainly for marginalised communities, explained political analyst Sami Nader.<\/p>\n<p>But mixing the proportional voting system with what is essentially a one-man-one-vote system &#8220;defeats the purpose, and kills the advantages of both voting systems,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>Although voters are not required to cast a preferential vote, if they do so, their favourite candidate must be included in the list they have chosen.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The real battle is [now] within the lists. The competition is over the preferential votes,&#8221; said Nader.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;And voters are feeling this. They would tell you they want X candidate, but they don&#8217;t want their whole list. This is not an incentive for voters [to vote].&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Maria Ashkar, a freelance artist, agreed. &#8220;I should be able to vote for one person and not 10. It&#8217;s like marrying someone; you don&#8217;t want to marry them and their entire family &#8230; I feel like it&#8217;s completely unfair,&#8221; she said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I feel I should be able to vote for whoever I want without having the entire list onboard.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2>&#8216;Different types of competitions&#8217;<\/h2>\n<p>As a result of this hybrid system, the candidate lists that have emerged do not follow the traditional fault lines that have divided political parties and sects since Lebanon&#8217;s civil war.<\/p>\n<p>To add to the complexity, in some districts, traditionally opposing parties have formed &#8220;coalition&#8221; lists together.<\/p>\n<p>Yet in other districts, the same parties run against each other, noted parliamentary expert Rabih Kays.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Imagine Republicans and Democrats allying against the Green Party,&#8221; said Kays.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Does that add up in your mind? In Lebanon it does. No one is against anyone, and no one is with anyone.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s different types of competitions. It&#8217;s diagonal and horizontal at the same time.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Although he backed the new law when it passed, Nader said now that he has seen its effects in the recent campaign cycle, he thinks the law impedes reform.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I think people will be voting for an individual and not for a programme. This is no dynamic for change,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>El-Halabi agreed, saying that participating in the upcoming elections would equal &#8220;validation of a political class that is aiming to recycle itself through the election and regain its legitimacy, after illegally extending the mandate of the 2009 parliament twice.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t want to give them this legitimacy,&#8221; El-Halabi said, adding that he will not be voting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Al Jazeera New electoral law has citizens divided over upcoming general election happening for the first time in years. Beirut, Lebanon &#8211;\u00a0The last parliamentary elections in\u00a0Lebanon\u00a0were held\u00a0nine years ago. Since then, the country has seen its executive body sit vacant for two years, watched parliament extend its tenure twice, and witnessed a prime minister abruptly resign and\u00a0just as suddenly retract\u00a0his&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/2018\/04\/24\/will-the-lebanese-vote-in-parliamentary-elections\/\">Read more &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[126,125],"class_list":["post-1654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article","tag-election","tag-lebanon"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/66"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1654"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1655,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1654\/revisions\/1655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/middleeastandnorthafricablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}