{"id":1563,"date":"2018-04-20T00:15:53","date_gmt":"2018-04-20T00:15:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/?p=1563"},"modified":"2018-04-20T00:28:55","modified_gmt":"2018-04-20T00:28:55","slug":"jailed-ex-president-lula-would-win-brazils-election-if-allowed-to-run-says-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/2018\/04\/20\/jailed-ex-president-lula-would-win-brazils-election-if-allowed-to-run-says-poll\/","title":{"rendered":"Jailed ex-president Lula would win Brazil&#8217;s election if allowed to run, says poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>France 24<\/p>\n<h2>Environmentalist Marina Silva and right wing politician Jair Bolsonaro would be leading candidates in Brazil&#8217;s presidential election if jailed former president Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva is unable to run, according to an opinion poll on Sunday.<\/h2>\n<p>The poll from Datafolha, the first since Lula started last\u00a0week serving a 12-year sentence following a\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/tag\/corruption\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">corruption\u00a0conviction<\/a>, showed the former president would lead the race in the unlikely event he was allowed to contest the election, due in October.<\/p>\n<p>Lula&#8217;s conviction leaves Brazil&#8217;s presidential race wide open.<\/p>\n<p>In the event he is unable to run, the poll, which ran\u00a0several scenarios around candidate composition, showed Bolsonaro\u00a0had 17 percent of voting intentions to Marina&#8217;s 15 percent. Datafolha said the poll&#8217;s 2 percentage point margin of error\u00a0 effectively means both candidates would be in a tied position as frontrunners.<\/p>\n<p>Under the same scenario without Lula, leftist Ciro Gomes and\u00a0former Supreme Court justice Joaquim Barbosa, a recent addition\u00a0to Brazil&#8217;s Socialist Party PSB, would tie in third place with 9 percent each.<\/p>\n<p>The poll also ran separate simulations that excluded Lula\u00a0from the ballot and placing current President Michel Temer and\u00a0former Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles as the candidate for\u00a0the ruling coalition. Both Temer and Meirelles attracted only\u00a0one or two percent in the respective scenarios.<\/p>\n<p>Lula is unlikely to be a candidate as Brazilian legislation\u00a0bars a person who has been found guilty after an appeal from\u00a0running for any public position.<\/p>\n<p>In the simulations with Lula still on the ballot, the former\u00a0president had 30 percent of voting intentions. In simulations in\u00a0which he is excluded, the poll found that his possible\u00a0substitute, former Sao Paulo mayor Fernando Haddad, would win\u00a0only two percent of votes.<\/p>\n<p>Brazil will hold general elections in October to choose a\u00a0President, governors for 26 states and the federal district and\u00a0members for both houses of Congress.<\/p>\n<p>Candidates are barred from using donations from\u00a0corporations, following a massive corruption scandal that sent\u00a0several politicians and businessman to jail.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>France 24 Environmentalist Marina Silva and right wing politician Jair Bolsonaro would be leading candidates in Brazil&#8217;s presidential election if jailed former president Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva is unable to run, according to an opinion poll on Sunday. The poll from Datafolha, the first since Lula started last\u00a0week serving a 12-year sentence following a\u00a0corruption\u00a0conviction, showed the former president would&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/2018\/04\/20\/jailed-ex-president-lula-would-win-brazils-election-if-allowed-to-run-says-poll\/\">Read more &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":44,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1563","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1563","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/44"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1563"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1563\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1577,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1563\/revisions\/1577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1563"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1563"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1563"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}