{"id":3687,"date":"2019-04-11T03:45:48","date_gmt":"2019-04-11T03:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/?p=3687"},"modified":"2019-04-11T03:45:48","modified_gmt":"2019-04-11T03:45:48","slug":"is-the-honeymoon-period-over-for-brazils-bolsonaro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/2019\/04\/11\/is-the-honeymoon-period-over-for-brazils-bolsonaro\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the honeymoon period over for Brazil&#8217;s Bolsonaro?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jair Bolsonaro won Brazil&#8217;s presidential election last October on a platform of change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He said he would deliver a safer Brazil to appease those worried about rising violence, an economic turnaround after several years of crisis and &#8211; perhaps most central to his campaign &#8211; an end to old-style corrupt politics which have seen dozens of high-ranking politicians, including a former president, jailed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For millions of Brazilians fed up with the status quo, the gun-loving former army officer was the only man for the top job despite sexist, racist and a homophobic remarks he made during the campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Reality sets in<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While 100 days in office may not be long enough to judge the president&#8217;s performance, some of his erstwhile supporters are now expressing doubts about his ability to lead the largest democracy in Latin America.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/624\/cpsprodpb\/8A45\/production\/_106379353_e7954c3d-fd71-47d9-b550-5aa4325dbb50.jpg\" alt=\"Demonstrators pose next to a cardboard cutout image of Brazil&quot;s President Jair Bolsonaro as they attend a protest against corruption and in favour of the &quot;Car Wash&quot; corruption investigation, in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil April 7, 2019\" \/><figcaption>Image captionSome supporters think Mr Bolsonaro is not moving fast enough, but others remain loyal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And among his detractors, there is definitely a feeling of &#8220;I told you so&#8221; after his first months were beset by a series of problems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/resources\/idt-sh\/Jair_Bolsonaro_Brazil\">Brazil&#8217;s unlikely president<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-latin-america-45746013\">Trump of the Tropics?<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Late last month,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-latin-america-47757616\">the president caused outrage<\/a>&nbsp;by suggesting the armed forces commemorate the start of military rule 55 years ago. His anti-corruption image has been tainted by allegations that his son Flavio was involved in financial scandals and death squads.ADVERTISEMENT<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And then of course, there was that awkward time during carnival when&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-latin-america-47473582\">he posted a video on Twitter of a sex act<\/a>&nbsp;performed by two men at a street party that he felt was bringing the reputation of the country down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He has now got the lowest approval rating recorded by a first-time president in the initial 100 days in power since the country returned to democracy in the 1980s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Lack of change<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The feeling is that the situation is worse than it was before the elections,&#8221; says Rafael Alcadipani, an associate professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation. &#8220;Everyone wanted change in society but the commander-in-chief hasn&#8217;t shown himself to be capable of delivering any type of change.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/624\/cpsprodpb\/EA5D\/production\/_106379995_96a60c5b-09df-48cc-b6b7-3e0dff16bcb7.jpg\" alt=\"A woman holds a banner which reads &quot;Bolsonaro out&quot; as she takes part in a protest against celebrations marking the anniversary of a 1964 coup in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil March 31, 2019.\" \/><figcaption>Image captionDetractors of Mr Bolsonaro feel vindicated<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;He&#8217;s failed to show Brazilians confidence in his plan for government,&#8221; says Roberta Braga, associate director at the Atlantic Council&#8217;s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Centre in Washington DC. &#8220;He&#8217;s losing a lot of support. It clearly takes time to implement these very complex reforms but Brazilians expected a lot from him.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of Mr Bolsonaro&#8217;s campaign commitments was to bring down violence by making it easier for people to own guns. Within a couple of weeks of being sworn in, he had loosened regulations to make it easier to keep guns at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This was music to the ears of people like gun club member Natasha Imata, whom I met at LAAD Expo, Latin America&#8217;s largest security and defence show in Rio de Janeiro last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/624\/cpsprodpb\/0008\/production\/_106380000_natashaandvitorimata.jpg\" alt=\"Natasha Imata and her husband Vitor at the LAAD Expo\" \/><figcaption>Image captionNatasha Imata and her husband Vitor think President Bolsonaro should have achieved more by now<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But despite his swift action on gun ownership, Ms Imata thinks that the new president is &#8220;not focussed on security&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her husband Vitor agrees. &#8220;His whole campaign was focussed on helping Brazilians but that&#8217;s not happened. It&#8217;s been a weak start,&#8221; he says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">From bullish to confused<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brazil&#8217;s stock market and currency soared after Mr Bolsonaro&#8217;s election in what some dubbed the &#8220;Bullsonaro wave&#8221;. But since he took over power on 1 January, signals have been more mixed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/624\/cpsprodpb\/1387D\/production\/_106379997_bfa02a87-b2c3-4dc1-bcd4-7b34a7277808.jpg\" alt=\"A woman looks at an electronic board showing the recent fluctuations of market indices on the floor of Brazil's B3 Stock Exchange in Sao Paulo, Brazil, April 3, 2019\" \/><figcaption>Image captionThe stock exchange has fluctuated<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While many in the industry point to a strong economic team led by market-friendly economy minister Paulo Guedes, unemployment levels have remained stubbornly high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is also a reluctant acceptance that the government may not be able to push through much-needed reforms such as pension cuts as easily as it had hoped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;We have serious doubts about the capacity of the government to continue to do these reforms,&#8221; says Andre Perfeito, chief economist at Necton brokerage in S\u00e3o Paulo. &#8220;Bolsonaro&#8217;s main promise was pension reform. And he&#8217;s not doing the political job to deliver that.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Others though, are more upbeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Walter Maciel is the CEO of independent asset management company AZ Quest: &#8220;Most of the old political leaders were not re-elected and went home. There is a major renovation in congress, a new government that was elected by people who desired a huge change, not only in the way the country was led but also in the way that politics was done.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;So you have a lot of new people coming in, many of them coming in without any political experience. Of course there&#8217;s some kind of externality and undesired volatility but it&#8217;s part of the learning process,&#8221; Mr Maciel says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Change of heart<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Government worker Gabriel Moraes voted for Jair Bolsonaro but says he would not do so again. He thinks the president needs to be more statesman-like and has so far failed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;As a head of state, any message he sends out is a reflection of society today,&#8221; Mr Moraes argues. &#8220;Life in civil society isn&#8217;t like an army barracks. Sure there has to be order and discipline but there have to be principles, rules and respect too.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But his cousin Alessandra Guadelupe Regondi disagrees. A big fan of President Bolsonaro, she says he represents something very different, something that Brazil needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ichef.bbci.co.uk\/news\/624\/cpsprodpb\/4E28\/production\/_106380002_bolso7-1.jpg\" alt=\"Alessandra Guadelupe Regondi poses for a photo\" \/><figcaption>Image captionAlessandra Guadelupe Regondi is a big fan of President Bolsonaro<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With a military background in her family, Ms Regondi warmed to the politician during the campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">His promises of cutting ministries in the government and making it more efficient, for example, appealed to her and she has even got a photo of the two of them together, in pride of place on her bookshelf in the living room.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ms Regondi does not see any problem with the president&#8217;s social media habit. &#8220;It helps him get closer to the people,&#8221; she argues.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Leaders were always from the same parties,&#8221; she says. &#8220;He&#8217;s a new hope, like Donald Trump was. He went against everything &#8211; and still won.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jair Bolsonaro won Brazil&#8217;s presidential election last October on a platform of change. He said he would deliver a safer Brazil to appease those worried about rising violence, an economic turnaround after several years of crisis and &#8211; perhaps most central to his campaign &#8211; an end to old-style corrupt politics which have seen dozens of high-ranking politicians, including a&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/2019\/04\/11\/is-the-honeymoon-period-over-for-brazils-bolsonaro\/\">Read more &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":99,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-article"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/99"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3687"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3688,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3687\/revisions\/3688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/baileyonlineclassroom.com\/theamericasblog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}