https://apnews.com/article/canada-carney-trump-budget-exports-c78a41c00167bc1d8177d5d74e34d09f
The article talks about Canada’s prime minister setting a goal to double all non-U.S. exports as a result of increased U.S. tariffs levied against Canada and Mexico. He states that he believes that the close ties between Canada and the U.S. that used to be advantageous, have become liabilities because of Canada’s economic dependence on the stated U.S. bound exports. The conflict caused by these tariffs have been lessened with the imminent meeting of the prime minister and the US president to discuss trade. The effects of these tariffs are large with 75% of Canada’s exports going to the U.S. These impacts have been especially felt in the aluminum, steel, auto and lumber sectors
Considering the president’s strong statement against the U.S. it is likely even if a trade agreement is reached, the relations of the two countries will never be the same. With this large hit to the Canadian economy it will have to look to other countries to find places to export goods at a similar quantity in which it was formerly sending to America. Even if a similar amount is matched, it will never match the convenience of the former with the inflated costs of transporting goods by ocean.
The two major players are the American government and Canada’s government. The American government will try to form a trade agreement that favors America more than the USMCA did through continued lesser tariffs. America has an extreme advantage over Canada due to the large economical dependence on trade so it will likely be able to steer the trade talks towards a solution that benefits America far more. Canada will have to take a significant hit to its economy regardless of outcome and is looking to diversify the countries it exports to.
This article connects to Power because Canada’s dependence on America will lead to an outcome in which America can force Canada to take a deal that doesn’t align with its national interests. Also connects to realism through the idea that treaties are fluid and are only valid when it benefits the countries involved.